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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Posted by By Briggs March 31, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

Posted by By Briggs March 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

New York City Democrats Remove Yet Another Right: No Smoking In Parks

The party that ever has "Rights!" on its lips, the party with the mania about diversity, the party that is most anxious that religious fundamentalists will take over and impose…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?

I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will The Religious Out-Breed Us All?

Thanks to long-time reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for bringing this to our attention. "It is widely agreed that religion has biological foundations---that belief in the supernatural, obedience to authority…
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Posted inStatistics

The Similarities Between Psychics And Global Warming Activists

The statistical evidence series will continue after the weekend. "I see the letter G." The woman closed her eyes, cocked her head, and looked inwardly. She became grave, tense. "There's...wait…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part III

To clarify: to prove false means to demonstrate a valid argument with a certain conclusion. If a theory/model says an event is merely unlikely---make it as unlikely as you like,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part I

These next posts are in the way of being notes to myself. Logic is the study of the relation between statements. For example, if "All green men are irascible, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Job Wanted: Tall Statistician Seeks Match

I am hoping that among my faithful readers there is somebody that knows somebody who might know a guy who's looking for a statistician. The economy is such that consulting…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    Given the tsunami surge of Islam into the West, welcomed by its leaders and their useful idiot voters; the takeover…

  2. Steve on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    I think the soft men thing requires a certain kind of softness. Tolerance. Men soft in other ways results in…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    Dr. Jack Kevorkian was, during the mid 1990s, the champion of the life ending cult. As his lunacy became more…

  4. Stephen J Frick on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenMarch 31, 2026

    The thinking here seems so true. I offer one potential benefit of this post. I will now reconsider whether traveling…

  5. There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men – William M. Briggs on Caring Is Killing Us: What’s Wrong With Benevolence by David StoveMarch 31, 2026

    […] years ago when I first quoted this I argued to fight against the current. I still do, for each…

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