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Latest Articles
How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
June 30, 2025
Class 56: The Best Model!
June 26, 2025
Sabine Hossenfelder’s Free Will Folly & The Deadly Sin Of Reification
June 25, 2025
England’s Mandatory Suicide & Women
June 24, 2025
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Posted inStatistics

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Posted by By Briggs June 30, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 56: The Best Model!

Posted by By Briggs June 26, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson Five or Six: Abnormality

Say! What happened to lessons three through four or five? Who knows. This morning, I'm dreadfully rushed, so just a sketch. I do not expect anybody to be convinced this…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson Two Again and Again: Logic is Not Opinion

Everybody: thanks for the emails. I do see them. I'll be answering all on the weekend. Would it surprise you to learn that to graduate with a degree in statistics---BS,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson Two Redux: More Mysticism

Is it written into sport announcers' contract that they shall speak in nothing but cliché? Since there is always great confusion about why premises about "fairness" or "randomness" are not…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson 2: Evidence and the Mysticism of Randomness

We made rather merry at the Chapter House last night, an annual tradition. Class begins in two hours. I can still hear the vuvus. Sheesh. Statements about the unknown made…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Lesson 1: Limitations and Logic

The internet connectivity here at the Statler almost reaches the category of stinks. Responses will be even slower than usual in appearing. Act like an Freshman should and crack the…
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Posted inCulture Fun

World Cup, Statistics, Movie Lines, Cracked, and Clubbing

USA 1, Small Island Nation 1 Fabio Capello, pictured left, shows us the tracks his tears took after Robert Green revealed his American sympathies by suspiciously letting a shot through---a…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Castrate People To Prevent Global Warming Suffering?

For another take, be sure not to miss this. When I was much younger and vastly stupider, I made a snide remark to my father who was engaged in what…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Will Nature’s Lust Force A Change In Peer Review?

Nature is one sexy item. All the top scientists ogle it and want to possess it. It wears a slick, glossy cover, speaks only in seductive tones, and feels its…
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  1. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  2. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  3. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  4. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  5. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

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