William M. Briggs

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…

Culture

Students Studying Less: Shocking Report

A new campus joke: "Dude, she was all like, 'What's that building? It's, like, so big.' And I go, 'That's the library. There's like so many books." Ha ha ha…

Philosophy Statistics

Symmetry, Priors, Logical Probability, Infinities, and Needless Paradoxes

One reason why some reject the notions of logical probability and Bayesian statistics is because it is said that assignments of probability under symmetry generate paradoxes. However, as I will…

Statistics

Lady Wins Fourth Lottery: What Are the Odds?

I'm in the wild blue yonder today; so here is a distraction. Thanks to reader Jade for suggesting the topic. Nobody can scratch better than Las Vegas resident Joan Ginther,…

Statistics

Consensus Members Agree To Agree: Breaking Story

The agreement amongst climatologists who agree that mankind will cause devastating climate change is popularly known as "The Consensus." Those who agree with the consensus are part of the consensus;…

Fun Statistics

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest: Kobayahsi Arrested! Records and Statistics

Sonna no uso da! Fuzakeruna yo! Were those the words of ex-champ Takeru Kobayahsi as he brazenly stormed the stage at the ninety-fifth annual Nathan's Hot Dog eating contest yesterday?…

Fun Statistics

World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final

A prediction (made on Monday, 28 June) verified: Although---and this has nothing to do with the issue at hand---Argentina's goaltender Sergio Romero stinks, and that's putting it nicely. Every shot…

Statistics

FBI Homicide Statistics: What Are You Most Likely To Be Killed With?

It's the start of a long weekend and the time for a diversion. It's the fourth of July weekend and our lesson is: if you older than 50, beware strangers…

JRob on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025
The spurious correlation example is the best proof that p values can't be used. That's what you have to hammer…
Glenn Ammons on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025
Thanks, this is a very understandable summary of your arguments against p-values and frequentism. There is a mistake in the…
J. Johnson on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025
Well you convinced me to never use p-values, and how to articulate to others why they shouldn’t either. I’d say…
Ed on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025
As a teacher who's seen, in the eyes of many a student (pun intended), the inglorious mist of complete misunderstanding,…
Uncle Mike on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025
I disagree with your hypothesis that "my career has largely been a failure". You shouldn't expect the world to immediately…

William M. Briggs

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?

On The Myths Of Scientism

Use The Tools The Left Created Against Them

The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed

The False Expectation Of Permanence

Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To Say

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

Students Studying Less: Shocking Report

Symmetry, Priors, Logical Probability, Infinities, and Needless Paradoxes

Lady Wins Fourth Lottery: What Are the Odds?

Consensus Members Agree To Agree: Breaking Story

Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest: Kobayahsi Arrested! Records and Statistics

World Cup Statistics and Predictions for the Final

FBI Homicide Statistics: What Are You Most Likely To Be Killed With?

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification