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Latest Articles
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
February 2, 2026
Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
January 29, 2026
Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
January 28, 2026
Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
January 27, 2026
What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
January 26, 2026
What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Posted by By Briggs February 9, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Posted by By Briggs February 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Fun

Horrible College Fashion: Both Professors And Students

I told the kid about to take exam that if he could write an essay successfully justifying why he chose to wear his unusual hat and kept it on indoors,…
Read More
Posted inCulture Statistics

Too Many Kids Go To College: A Second Conversation With Myself

Read the first conversation here. William How goes the teaching? Matt Do you really want to know? You might not like the answer. William You're going to start this conversation…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Lying For A Living: Tiny Airline Seats

Cowboys on airplanes No doubt channeling Sergio Leone and Clint Eastwood, the Italian design firm Aviointeriors Group has created a new airline seat dubbed the "saddle." Ride them skies! What…
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Posted inCulture

How eBooks Will Lead To The Disappearance of Books

Thanks to reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for suggesting this topic. We have already discussed how eBooks will hasten the end of what we called long-form reading, i.e. book reading,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

University Rankings: Wall Street Journal, ACTA, QS

I, working with Cambria Consulting (see below), was involved heavily creating the WSJ's Top 25 College rankings which are in today's papers. All questions on the methods, I defer to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Competitiveness Report: World Economic Forum

The World Economic Forum has released their 2010-2011 rankings of Global Competitiveness, a subject matter so important that it rates Capital Letters to introduce. For each country, the economists from…
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Posted inFun

Solar Flares, Coronal Mass Ejections, And Evil Alien Conquerors

NASA, when it can spare time from its outreaching to the Muslims of the world, manages to fit in a little science. Like from its nearly spanking new Solar Dynamics…
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Posted inCulture

Florida Pastor Won’t Burn Quran: Prediction—Late Posting!

I wrote this Wednesday night, and only learned of Jones's reversal early Friday morning. Since it is now too late to write anything new, I give you my prediction, which…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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