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Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
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Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
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Merry Christmas!
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Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
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Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
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Climate Models
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On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
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How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
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The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
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Posted inStatistics

Happy New Year!

Posted by By Briggs January 1, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Posted by By Briggs December 31, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inFun Statistics

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Four Chords Is All You Need: The Limited Nature of Pop Music

Coming tomorrow: the infamous two-envelope problem, solved! More mathematical constructivism. But today, as it's Sunday, something light and airy...and non taxing. A "comedy rock" group which bills itself as the…
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Posted inStatistics

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…
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Posted inStatistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…
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Posted inStatistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

‘The Most Dangerous Philosopher in the West’

Extremely busy day, today. I have time for only the merest sketch of a post. The title is not mine, but a label given to Slavoj Zizek, the rock-star communist…
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  1. _Jim on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaJanuary 4, 2026

    @John Pate re: "it is gaslighting to pretend the current state of the anglophone countries is anything other than deliberate…

  2. Hagfish Bagpipe on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Perusing your list of popular linked articles, I am once again impressed at the quantity and quality of your output.…

  3. Hagfish Bagpipe on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Briggs: "... then I pray to your confusion and conversion, and hope that your hangover teaches you a lesson." Ha-ha!…

  4. hudbwu on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Happy New Year!

  5. NLR on Happy New Year!January 2, 2026

    Happy New Year

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