William M. Briggs

California Judge Reverses Prop 8: A Right To Marriage?

A judge in California has, as we have all heard, struck down the publicly created law which bans two-person, same-sex marriage. This was no surprise, as most expected that this…

Philosophy

Shermer Tries, And Fails, To Take Down Chopra

Aurora last night masked by clouds. Saw plenty of bats. Here is a review of another article you might like to read. Michael Shermer, publisher of Skeptic magazine, tried to…

Statistics

Manzi: What Social Science Does—and Doesn’t—Know

This article is nothing but an extended link to a must-read piece in City Journal. Internet still once daily. Thanks to reader I. for suggesting this topic. If you haven't…

Culture Statistics

Everybody Has A Mental Disease: Diagnostic and Statistical Manual 5

I am so far Up North that I heard a radio interview with Uncle Ted Nugnet on the best kinds of arrowheads to bring down feral pigs. Internet still only…

Philosophy Statistics

Correlation and Causality: Have A Drink, Get Rich

I am down to one brief internet connection daily, found, intermittently, at a coffee shop in town. I apologize for lack of or slowness in answering questions. According to the…

Statistics

Three Cards: One Black, One Red, One Half & Half

Just a short one today, all. I'm heading further North. So far from civilization that when I was a boy, it was a cause to celebrate when a cit thirty…

Culture Philosophy

Professor Fired For Offending Friend Of Student (Then Rehired)

Whatever you do, don't diss John Stuart Mill or Jeremy Bentham at the University of Illinois at Champaign-Urbana. You might just "offend" the friend of a student, and will thus…

Statistics

New Tax To Force Citizens To Pay For Water: Prediction

Away back in March, I predicted that if Obamacare passed, we citizens would eventually foot the bill for homeopathic treatments. This evidence for this forecast was inductive, in two parts.…

hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
> But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…
John M on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
Well, now I know why lawyers are all screwed up.
Cary D Cotterman on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
I think Mr. Blow hit the nail on the head.
Uncle Mike on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
Statisticians always get blamed for everything. My friend is a statistician, so it's his own stupid fault.
JH on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026
(A) Both valid and sound arguments are considered correct. The premise for a valid argument may be false. (See https://iep.utm.edu/val-snd/).…

William M. Briggs

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting

Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money

Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series

The Consent Fallacy

On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs

Register Your Predictions For 2026!

Happy New Year!

How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?

Why The Drake Equation Fails

Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Merry Christmas!

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

California Judge Reverses Prop 8: A Right To Marriage?

Shermer Tries, And Fails, To Take Down Chopra

Manzi: What Social Science Does—and Doesn’t—Know

Everybody Has A Mental Disease: Diagnostic and Statistical Manual 5

Correlation and Causality: Have A Drink, Get Rich

Three Cards: One Black, One Red, One Half & Half

Professor Fired For Offending Friend Of Student (Then Rehired)

New Tax To Force Citizens To Pay For Water: Prediction

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification