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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Latest Articles
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

Posted by By Briggs May 14, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

Posted by By Briggs May 13, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Fun

Horrible College Fashion: Both Professors And Students

I told the kid about to take exam that if he could write an essay successfully justifying why he chose to wear his unusual hat and kept it on indoors,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Too Many Kids Go To College: A Second Conversation With Myself

Read the first conversation here. William How goes the teaching? Matt Do you really want to know? You might not like the answer. William You're going to start this conversation…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Lying For A Living: Tiny Airline Seats

Cowboys on airplanes No doubt channeling Sergio Leone and Clint Eastwood, the Italian design firm Aviointeriors Group has created a new airline seat dubbed the "saddle." Ride them skies! What…
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Posted inCulture

How eBooks Will Lead To The Disappearance of Books

Thanks to reader and contributer Ari Schwartz for suggesting this topic. We have already discussed how eBooks will hasten the end of what we called long-form reading, i.e. book reading,…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

University Rankings: Wall Street Journal, ACTA, QS

I, working with Cambria Consulting (see below), was involved heavily creating the WSJ's Top 25 College rankings which are in today's papers. All questions on the methods, I defer to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Competitiveness Report: World Economic Forum

The World Economic Forum has released their 2010-2011 rankings of Global Competitiveness, a subject matter so important that it rates Capital Letters to introduce. For each country, the economists from…
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Posted inFun

Solar Flares, Coronal Mass Ejections, And Evil Alien Conquerors

NASA, when it can spare time from its outreaching to the Muslims of the world, manages to fit in a little science. Like from its nearly spanking new Solar Dynamics…
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Posted inCulture

Florida Pastor Won’t Burn Quran: Prediction—Late Posting!

I wrote this Wednesday night, and only learned of Jones's reversal early Friday morning. Since it is now too late to write anything new, I give you my prediction, which…
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  1. John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026

    You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…

  2. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  3. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  4. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  5. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

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