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Latest Articles
On The Probability Of God
June 23, 2025
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
Posted inStatistics

On The Probability Of God

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Posted by By Briggs June 19, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy

Are All Governments Destined For Failure?

Here's an experiment you can try at home. Gather a set of children's building blocks and form them into a square, flat on the floor. The square can be of…
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Posted inCulture

Six-year-old Boy Holds Class Hostage, Uses Finger For Gun

The scene was tense Wednesday, 3 March, when Mason Jammer, a student at Jefferson Elementary in Ionia, Michigan held his kindergarten class hostage by fashioning his finger into the shape…
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Posted inStatistics

Final Healthcare Showdown: Government vs. Liberty

There's Nancy Pelosi, Six Gun of State strapped to her side, the sun burning overhead. And there's you, armed only with Freedom, thirty paces off. It's a standoff! If you…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent. The Obama administration will create a new definition of poverty, one that changes as a function of how…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part I

Would you check the results of a model with another model? Before you answer, be sure you know what the question is. A model---whether it is physical, statistical, mathematical, or…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Use of Deadly Force Authorized Against Renegade Sea Lions

The deadliest force known to man---The Law of Unintended Consequences---has struck again. This time it has led to the deliberate slaughter of sea lions by armed agents of the U.S.…
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New Study Says iPhones Addictive: More Bad Statistics

(Note: I do not have an iPhone, nor "smart" phone of any kind.) Addiction is a strong word. It means, as the authors of the study are content to allow…
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  1. Michael Dowd on On The Probability Of GodJune 23, 2025

    Thomas Aquinas: 'To one who has faith, no explanation is necessary. To one without faith, no explanation is possible.'

  2. On The Probability Of God – William M. Briggs on The Crybaby Fallacy (Which Atheists Often Use)June 23, 2025

    […] may have heard of “The Problem of Evil”. It’s always (so far as I’ve seen) stated incorrectly. The real…

  3. John Pate on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 21, 2025

    The inevitable AI Winter is not long coming I feel sure. The question is what will the next big piece…

  4. rando calrissian on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 20, 2025

    Its free because they want to know what you will ask the ai. And that's why most of the free…

  5. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

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