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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Posted by By Briggs April 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 7: Reading External Data Part II

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Today, some common errors you WILL see when you try to read in data. The code below has many typos. Watch…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Skeptic Conspiracy Strikes!

I have never been part of a conspiracy before---there was never the opportunity---so you can imagine how excited I am about finally joining one. It's true that, in 1978, I,…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 6: Reading External Data Part I

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Go to https://www.wmbriggs.com/book/ and save the advertising.csv file into your myR folder. Make SURE it is saved as a CSV file…
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Posted inStatistics

Quirk’s: Telling the future from the past: predictive versus classical statistics

Today's post is at Quirk's, the well known trade journal and marketing research review. If you want to read the article on-line at Quirk's, registration is required, but free. You…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 5: Reading Built-in Data

This is the fifth in a series of lectures on R. 10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Today, we read in some datasets that come with R.…
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Posted inStatistics

2011 Per Capita Budget Highest Ever

President Obama submitted the 2011 fiscal year budget. If Congress passes it---and history shows that the approximate amount requested is usually granted---then this will be the highest the USA has…
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Posted inStatistics

Why Global Warming Won’t Go Away: Inertia

Rajendra Pachauri---chairman of the IPCC, railway engineer, and the man who penned these words, "Sanjay saw a shapely dark-skinned girl lying on Vinay's bed. He was overcome by a lust…
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  1. Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…

  2. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…

  3. McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    “Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…

  4. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…

  5. C-Marie on UFO Reports About To Blast Off!April 27, 2026

    Well said, everyone! So, do read Matthew 24 to know what Jesus said about the end times. God bless, C-Marie

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