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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Fun

F train Blues, Michael Palin is proud, and some misuses of statistics

Just back from my trip. I'll go through the comments from last week's posts later today and catch up. Meanwhile, here are a few interesting stories. That F'ing train! You've…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #1: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0001.mp3[/podcast] First lecture: I'm away to a conference this week, and so thought it would be fun to start a lecture series Understanding Statistics and Probability (this is posting automatically---I'll…
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Posted inCulture Podcast

Podcast Radio Show – Episode #3: Call the Health Police!

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_07oct2009_0003.mp3[/podcast] On today's episode: What is health? Herr Mencken, the Sage of Baltimore: "a degree of adaptation to the organism's environment so nearly complete that there is no irritation." Health…
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Posted inCulture

The Case of the Rape-rape Patrol: a 17th precinct mini-mystery

We last met Officer Hannigan and Sergeant Fitzgerald in The Case of the Missing Global Warming and The Age of Stupid "Sarge, we got a call." Officer Hannigan motioned to…
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Posted inStatistics

About Half Will Not Pay Federal Income Tax: Plus, A Solution To This Unfairness

What's to stop a large bloc of voters from joining forces to create laws so that they get a free ride, that they, in effect, make everybody else pay their…
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Posted inPodcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show – Episode #2: The Limits of Human Knowledge and The Singularity

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_30sep2009_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's show: Update 3 Oct: The show appears to be available on iTunes. Search Podcasts for "Briggs" under "Title." If anybody has difficulties downloading, please let me know.…
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Posted inCulture

The Theory of Increasing Government Idiocy

In software, it's called feature creep. This is the bloat or encrustation that forms on a working computer program. It is caused by adding overly specific functions that originate with…
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Posted inStatistics

Coincidence?

Link.
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  1. John Pate on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026

    Dawkins is leaning in to the idea that we've defined consciousness as what we are seeing the AI chatbots produce.…

  2. Phileas Frogg on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 5, 2026

    Push the Red button then order my entire family to do the same, because we are not obligated to risk…

  3. Johnno on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    This is your brain on the Theory of Evolution. Atheists should be restricted from any and all influential positions within…

  4. John M on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    My old brain still wants to read the acronym as the name Al (lower case L). That's why I like…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    Can there be an "Artificial Intelligence" that does not contain "Artifacts"?

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