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Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…
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Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof
Posted inStatistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…
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Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…
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Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII
Posted inStatistics

Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII

EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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Mask Me, Darling—Why We Know Masks Don’t Work: Coronavirus Update LI
Posted inStatistics

Mask Me, Darling—Why We Know Masks Don’t Work: Coronavirus Update LI

MASKS The Fabulous Fauci---who likes seeing himself on camera more than Narcissus adored his reflection---was out last week touting triple, or maybe it was quadruple, masks. After all, if one…
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WHO PCR Test False Positive  Fiasco: Coronavirus Update L
Posted inStatistics

WHO PCR Test False Positive Fiasco: Coronavirus Update L

WHO KNEW The WHO last week admonished the world to watch the Ct level of PCR tests. Too high gives too many false positives. False positives artificially boost "case" numbers,…
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Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent
Posted inStatistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025

    How wonderful! As Dr. Briggs points out, clearly God, the Almighty Creator, created women different from men. However, stone cold,…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025

    Even with lowered testosterone, there's still height, weight, stride length, reach, muscle size, lung capacity, heart capacity, and the natural…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Thanks, John. Tesla was often right, but there are questions which cannot be solved without statistics. I know a bit…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, much appreciated. w.

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Can't agree with Briggs on this, I agree with Tesla; "Today's scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander…

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