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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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The Bent Curve and The Six Million Dollar Man — Guest Post by John Carver
Posted inStatistics

The Bent Curve and The Six Million Dollar Man — Guest Post by John Carver

When the media become filled with talk of heroes, you might want to hide your wallet; It’s probably going to get expensive. But more on that later. First some updates…
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Black Vs White Violence: Or, Why Cops & Blacks Have No Love For One Another
Posted inCulture Statistics

Black Vs White Violence: Or, Why Cops & Blacks Have No Love For One Another

So this black Cube fellow, speaking about the events in New Somalia (her implication), tweeted "How long will we go for Blue on Black Crime before we strike back???" It's…
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Here’s How They Can Push “New Cases” To Keep Panic Going
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Can Push “New Cases” To Keep Panic Going

Here, as I showed in the update, are the reported deaths divided by reported cases for the world and US. These are the crude case-fatality rates. They're "cases" for a…
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Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models
Posted inStatistics

Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models

Joe Nocera --- read his Lockdowns Haven't Proved They’re Worth the Havoc --- sent us an article from the Washington Post which discusses how much money the lockdowns saved us.…
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Coronavirus Update XV: The Curse Of Karen
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XV: The Curse Of Karen

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update XIV: Stretching Your Fear Dollar
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XIV: Stretching Your Fear Dollar

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis
Posted inCulture Statistics

Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis

The burden of proof that lockdowns work is clearly on those imposing and supporting lockdowns. Lockdown skeptics are under no obligation whatsoever to show lockdowns do not work. Lockdowns are…
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  1. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 19, 2025

    Willis, Now 4,500 words, but as a compensation it has code, so all can try. Thanks for pushing me. Answer's…

  2. Chad W Jessup on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    I would like to add to your excellent post that there were probably thousands and thousands, if not millions, of…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    John, I don't troll. Never have, never would. Google "projection", there's a good fellow. I asked a question, hoping to…

  4. John Pate on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    If only people still had faith in chicken entrails this would all be unnecessary.

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    Eschenbach, you're trolling and Briggs humours you, it is amusing. Somehow Briggs can't shake off the embrace of scientism in…

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