Statistics

New Climate Change Report Once Again Promises, As It First Did In 1990, We Only Have A Few Years Left

How many times can you be wrong about a matter of great importance and still be taken seriously and not be fired?

Trick question!

The answer is: you can never be fired for being wrong in the right direction.

The Experts making statements about how dire the climate is have been wrong for decades, and they are still wrong in their sparkling new IPCC Climate Assessment Report 6 released Monday.

The difference between “AR6”, and ARs 1–5, is not so much in the kind of errors made, for these haven’t changed at all, but in the certainty expressed in them. It’s only a slight exaggeration to say that somebody did a “Find & Replace” of every instance of “very likely” in AR5 and changed them to “virtually certain”.

The rhetoric has been amplified, but the mistakes remain. The Experts who write these reports have never lost any authority for their repeated blunders, nor will they be taken any less than seriously for making them again now.

Because they are always wrong in the direction our rulers want them to be.

Why Not To Trust Experts

Before we come to what that means, I’ll give you the one proof that shows why the climate Experts are wrong.

You don’t need formal training in thermodynamics to follow this proof. You won’t need to understand the physics of fluid flow. You won’t have to worry about knowing the difference between vorticity and the Coriolis effect. Convective available potential energy can remain a mystery. You won’t even have to know any statistics.

This is good, because the vast majority who opine about global warming also know nothing about these subjects, even as they assure you that their plan to “save” the planet must be implemented.

Baby, It’s Cold & Hot Outside

The proof is this: ever since global cooling was the consensus in the 1970s, which later turned into the consensus of global warming in the late 1980s, which later turned into the consensus of climate change now, all of the predictions have been of doom. The future is bleak, with no sunshine foreseen.

The idea in the 1970s was that man-made pollution from burning fossil fuels was going to knock back the sun’s rays, plunging us into a new ice age.

The atmosphere was going to change because of man. And everything, every system that the atmosphere touched, was going to suffer. All Experts swore that nothing good could come from the change.

In the 1980s, when the temperature began to warm in places, the theory changed, but the predictions of doom did not. Now, burning fossil fuels was going to trap the effects of the sun’s rays, casting us into the flames.

Again, the atmosphere was going to change because of man. Again, everything was going to suffer because of this. Experts said every animal that is cute, photogenic, or delicious was going to die; whereas every beast or plant that bit, stung, or poisoned was going to flourish.

Mountains of “research” was done to “prove” that everything we loved was going to be destroyed, where everything we hated was going to increase. Because of a tenth or so of a degree increase in global mean temperature.

Politics Overtakes Science

My friends, this cannot be. It is impossible that atmospheric change can bring only harm, and cause no good. That Experts insist only evil things can occur is why you can know, without doubt, that they cannot be trusted. Experts, like you, also know that much good can come from a warmer, more carbon-dioxide-rich planet, but the Experts choose to deny these goods because of politics.

Nothing has changed in the new “guidance” from the UN. Only now they scream about a “red alert” instead of an almost red one. Or whatever color they used last time. Now, as then, they warn that “extremes” are on their way. They haven’t got here yet, but they’re coming. They’re always coming.

Or they have got here, but you need to have the kind of specialized training mentioned above to recognize them. I have that training and I don’t, because I disagree with the methods used to “see” these mysterious extremes.

It will take some time to go through the new IPCC report in full. It comes in just shy of 4,000 pages. But for the moment, I can leave you with this. It is a link to a report written by government Experts 19 years ago that asserted with absolute confidence that “within 20” years Britain would be “Siberian”, that mega-droughts, world-wide famine, and even nuclear war would occur.

Because of a tenth or so of a degree increase in global mean temperature.

This article first appeared in edited form at The Stream.

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Categories: Statistics

22 replies »

  1. Depends on if the matter or importance is an interstate bridge and it collapses after you keep saying it’s fine. Oh, wait, you meant with models and politics…..Oh, and you must outlaw the story of the little boy that cried wolf.

    No science problem is solved by money. See the disastrous vexxine. If the parties involved want money to solve the problem, they are lying about the problem being a scientific one. That is all you need to know.

    It is definitely worth noting, as you did, that things are rarely all good or all bad, especially if the entire world is involved. Going through the report may be worth it as an intellectual exercise, but really, no one cares, any more than they do about those 2400 page bills Congress passes all the time. It’s just a way of killing all the trees……

  2. I talk to the trees and they tell me that, for them, CO2 is wonderful. “More, please” is their cry, “We can then produce more oxygen for you to breath”.

    Who would deny this, for them?

  3. If the climate is warming that is good news.

    Back in the Middle Ages, when it was warmer because Sun, grapes were grown at high altitudes and wine was enjoyed by the people but later global cooling because Sun resulted in the people being unsuccessful growing grapes at higher altitudes.

    Global warming is good.

  4. “The Little Boy who cried Wolf:
    A mischievous Lad, who was set to mind some Sheep, used, in jest, to cry “The Wolf! the Wolf!” When the people at work in the neighboring fields came running to the spot, he would laugh at them for their pains. One day the Wolf came in reality, and the Boy, this time, called “The Wolf! the Wolf!” in earnest; but the men, having been so often deceived, disregarded his cries, and the Sheep were left at the mercy of the Wolf.

    A liar will not be believed, even when telling the truth.”

    There, now spread that story far and wide and hope the public has enough intelligence left to understand or at least it might speed up the liars getting eaten by the wolf.

  5. Dr. Doombuster: ”The proof is this: ever since global cooling was the consensus in the 1970s, which later turned into the consensus of global warming in the late 1980s, which later turned into the consensus of climate change now, all of the predictions have been of doom. The future is bleak, with no sunshine foreseen.”

    Yes indeed Doc, this consistent pattern of FEAR! PANIC! DOOM! — is how you know it’s a planned campaign of psychological warfare by a small group of power-crazed-would-be-god-men to frighten and panic us into absolute submission. An old trick, not new. Short video does excellent job illustrating how it works:

    MASS PSYCHOSIS – How an Entire Population Becomes MENTALLY ILL

  6. I’m beginning to believe that this is all a long con by the devil, so that when God inevitably destroys the worls using the Sun and some flooding or whatever, that a generation of oh-so-smart skeptics to come will uncover tablets of IPCC predictions in Bill Gates’ pyramidal tomb and declare that the recovery of Christianity is wrong because the wisest sages of ages past figured out it was all because of fossil fuel powered air conditioning.

  7. The same ‘tards that buy Climatism are the same ‘tards wearing face diapers driving by themselves, lining up for the ClotShot and screeching that everyone else must join them.

  8. Every day it becomes harder not to take the black pill.

    Honestly, when Assange released the East Anglia CRU emails and proved it was all a big scam, that should have been the end of this nonsense once and for all.

    But no, the masses keep buying the new lies just minutes after the old lies are disproved.

    At this point I’m beginning to think that not only is civilization doomed, but it should be. The people are too effing stupid to be allowed to live lives of freedom, luxury and happiness. The entire species deserves the reign of terror they are so desperate to put in charge, they deserve the slavery, death, destruction and pain. They deserve Marxist dictatorship … frankly they deserve the giant asteroid.

    If I were God, I would have sterilized Noah and his family and been done with it.

  9. “How can we trust the trees to keep their side of the bargain, huh?”

    By hatchet,
    Axe,
    And saw…

  10. Dear Haghfish. One way a once Christian Civilisation becomes mentally ill is to begin listening to, believing in and then acting on the destructive lies promoted by the Messias-Deniers seeking to destroy it – Like Freud and Jung.

    https://chalcedon.edu/magazine/modern-psychology-the-visible-church-versus-the-secret-church

    Freud and Jung were perverts whose lives had been corrupted by their sexual sins and instead of repentance and metanoia they tried to rationalise away their sins.

  11. “Sigmund and Minna and Carl and Sabina: The birth of psychoanalysis out of the personal lives of its founders: is chapter 8 in “Degenerate Moderns” a terrific deconstruction of those creepy clowns.

    These two perverts were serious sexual sinners and Jung was well practiced in the art of the lie (which he later admitted in his “Memories”).

    Our Library of Congress, for a long time, refused to release the correspondence between Freud and his sister in law Minna , (whom he knocked up and took to get an abortion) away from the public and when it was finally released in January 1989, those letters were missing.

    Typical BS by our Over Lords who found solace in the absurd rationalising of the sexual sins of these two perverts

    Dear Male Reader, did you want to fornicate with your Mom? Then Freud’s your go-to-boy to tell you that’s cool, because its a universal impulse –

    Who knows? Maybe Jeffrey Dahmer thought that murder and cannibalism was a universal impulse.

    Jung fornicated with one of his patients, Sabina Spielrein, and felt compelled to confess to Freud.

    Wadda couple of corrupt liars

    The patient whom Doctor Jung was screwing was also screwing another woman and he loved them both and tried to reconcile that problem. As Spielrein wrote in her diary “his soul is constantly torn between women” which is why the perv retreated in gnosticism reconcile opposites, thus, Mysterium Conjunctionis.

    The author of the book, Jones, posits the “Dimmesdale Syndrome” as the key to understand the sexual sinners.

    Dimmesdale was the preacher in “The Scarlet Letter: who simultaneously confused and concealed (He spoke from the pulpit at night with nobody around – the second of three pulpit scenes in that great novel).

    The syndrome works like this – Immoral action ->guilt – >remorse ->confession/Concealment

    Dimesdale was looking for “there might be a moment’s peace in it” and so the midnight confession from the Pulpit with no congregation present.

    A more modern version of the Dimmesdale Syndrome is the Gay Pride Parades

  12. Some interesting thoughts, re: God keeps His word … maybe sterilizing Noah et al.

    The Bible says “God is not a man, that He should lie, Nor a son of man, that He should repent; Has He said, and will He not do it? Or has He spoken, and will He not make it good?”
    Numbers 23: 19.

    So, when God created Adam and Eve, He told them to: “God blessed them; and God said to them, “Be fruitful and multiply, and fill the earth, and subdue it; and rule over the fish of the sea and over the birds of the sky and over every living thing that moves on the earth.”
    Genesis 1: 28.

    And after they sinned, See Genesis Chapter 3 in which God says:

    “16To the woman He said,
    “I will greatly multiply Your pain in childbirth,
    In pain you will bring forth children;
    Yet your desire will be for your husband,
    And he will rule over you.”

    17Then to Adam He said, “Because you have listened to the voice of your wife, and have eaten from the tree about which I commanded you, saying, ‘You shall not eat from it’;
    Cursed is the ground because of you;
    In toil you will eat of it
    All the days of your life.

    18“Both thorns and thistles it shall grow for you;
    And you will eat the plants of the field;

    19By the sweat of your face
    You will eat bread,
    Till you return to the ground,
    Because from it you were taken;
    For you are dust,
    And to dust you shall return.”

    So, God kept His word for them to be fruitful and multiply, and to fill the earth and subdue it …. the difference being, that now that all creation fell with the sin of human beings, often bodily nature and earth nature will work against human beings, plus, our human nature will always be at odds with God because sin broke the relationship nearly irretriveably. But even so, God is always in charge!!

    Only the Life, Death, and Resurrection of His Son could reset the relationship, and even then, the fallen human nature, the nature that wants to be its own god, will always be fighting us, even after we receive the salvation in Jesus. It will be very difficult to “kill” the sinful nature within oneself. See Paul in Romans. The big “WHY”?. Now I belong to Jesus and yet sometimes am tempted to pull away from Him. Daily prayer in Jesus’ armor is the answer. Growing in loving God is the answer.

    There is no thing and nothing of the world, that can give everlasting peace. Always, sinful nature, the “I am god nature”, will rise to the top. Sometimes God allows a time of apparent peace in a part of the world, but not throughout the whole of it at the same time. And when His people sin and do not sincerely repent, He has judgments take place to show people how horrid sin is.

    God bless, C-Marie

  13. Mention in my comment above, of maybe sterilizing Noah and family, came from Zundfolge’s comment of:
    “If I were God, I would have sterilized Noah and his family and been done with it.”

    In no way was I nor am I saying in my comment above that God would have sterilized Noah, et al. The whole comment was to show that God keeps His word.

    God bless, C-Marie

  14. 1 – Murphy’s second law: the liklihood that the majority will be wrong on any issue varies directly with the complexity of the issue.

    2 – I am quite taken (with my own humility – no wait..I mean..) my lunch napkin “proof” that global climate change isn’t happening – see winface.com/node/13 – and if you disagree then I’d sure like to know why.

  15. If one thinks we are doomed by climate change, one does not does not buy beach houses, unless is one is being irrational.

    But if one doesn’t believe in climate change, then the hypocrisy makes sense. Use the fear of the hot gas coming from ones mouth to fleece the sheep.

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