Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

A common scurrilous sophomoric ridiculous false charge leveled against those of a religious bent, and made by internet atheists, is that the religious hold their beliefs “Based on no evidence.” Perhaps Redditor is a better word than “internet athesists”, but I’ll stick with the former, which I use to distinguish the more thoughtful branch of godless heathens from the juvenile.

No one believes any thing, or even holds the uncertainty of any thing, “Based on no evidence.” Even stronger, no one can hold any belief, in certainty or uncertainty, without some evidence. This includes even internet atheists who falsely believe the religious hold beliefs “based on no evidence.”

The evidence internet atheists use in their argument that their enemies (the religious) hold beliefs “based on no evidence” runs something like this: “It’s obvious Science rules, and Science has no need of God, for which there is no Scientific evidence; thus, the religious hold their beliefs based on no evidence.”

That argument is based on evidence. False evidence, and even silly evidence. But it is evidence. The internet atheist believes that if you cannot hold up a specially designed yardstick to the heavens, and find some minimum is exceeded, then God cannot exist. His fallacies include that such a yardstick exists, and that only that yardstick counts as genuine evidence.

Which are both absurd. And yet even if they were not and you think you can form sophisticated versions of both, the religious, from the voodoo practitioner to the Pervert Pennant-waving Presbyterian to the cloistered nun, all also gather evidence for their beliefs, which they all find to some degree convincing if not compelling.

The question is thus always about the evidence itself.

That naturally leads to a chain, because as you seek to justify, or to “destroy”, the evidence used in an argument, you must call upon other, “deeper-down” evidence. And that, too, must be justified in the same way. Eventually there comes a bottoming out, a level of evidence that just seems true to you, but which you cannot prove, and, if you’ve gone all the way to the fundament, that nobody can prove.

As I never tire of pointing out, that is how mathematicians begin their dense tangled web of proofs: (1) with axioms for which there is no proof save recourse and faith in induction-intellection, and (2) faith in reason. For there is also no proof of any kind without using reason which assumes that reason works, that it provides truth, other than harkening to that same induction-intellection. You cannot even reason that reason must always fail, as arch skeptics attempt, without the faith that your reason is working. You cannot escape faith.

Most haven’t the time for this level of activity of thinking. And most with the time haven’t the ability. It is far from easy, and in fact there is nothing more difficult to start from absolute scratch and build a solid world. Because, as is clear from all history, though we must all have faith, many have faith in the wrong things.

Call that faith “belief” if you like, which is a kinder word. For you can believe anything. Even false things.

This happens when your induction lets you down, when you start with false premises that you do not seek to justify. Feelings can do a number on you. They can, as you know from personal experience I’m sure, cause any number of wrong beliefs. I suppose arrogance is a feeling. It is often arrogance that leads some to say “Science gives all truths”, or the like. Science cannot even give you math, so it’s a wonder, or should be a wonder, that anybody would first come to believe in the supreme powers of Science.

I say first come to believe because I think it’s natural for people raised under a scientism regime, as all alive today have been, to believe in the supremacy of Science. Because, of course, all are told so, directly and indirectly, from birth. Yes, a few are also told religion takes precedence, but even these people hear the competing view, and most of these come to believe it.

This is why it is extraordinarily difficult for scidolators to take any religious claim seriously. Scidolator is a more compact word than Science Supremacist, and more apt, because to believe Science is supreme means all morality and ethics must be judged scientifically, as well carrying the heavy burden of explaining the existence of all things. Any system that can do all that is worthy of worship.

Now I often criticize Scott Alexander, whom I believe is a scidolator, though if he is not, then my apologies. I want to highlight an effort in which he examines a religious claim in terrific detail; specifically, the alleged (well, that’s the right word here) Miracle at Fatima. Alexander expends great effort and energy in finding evidence probative of the claim. Which is to say, evidence supporting the claim and evidence which falsifies the claim.

He does this in a scant 30,000 words, which does not, as he admits, come close to exhausting the material. I cannot successfully summarize all of it, so if you have an interest in this claim than you must read his article. I didn’t know much about it (Catholics are not obliged to believe it), and was surprised to learn that Fatima-like claims have been made at other times and places. Like in Lubbock, Texas! Alexander, to his eternal credit, even explores a sub-Reddit of strange people who make a habit of staring at the sun, because (I gather) they believe it gives them certain powers. Many, yes, have gone blind.

If there is any flaw with Alexander’s work, it is that, while he tries to specify what the claim is, itself no simple task, he does not attempt to define what a miracle is. It would seem he means something like (in part) “An event which Science does not explain.” That is a poor definition, and has the obvious flaw that Science can still explain the event, but that nobody knows how. This, and my long experience with doctors, is why I am reflexively and initially skeptical of all first reports of medical miracles.

Miracles ask us to examine and give faith to the ultimate cause of certain events that are noticed. You have to add that “noticed” because God could, of course, cause any number of events that nobody notices, events which could be defined as miraculous. However, this is a not an article about miracles, so we’ll leave it at that.

Or at the plea, or our perennial plea, to examine all evidence, that you can find and grasp, for all things. Especially on strange, miraculous, and conspiratorial matters. And certainly on foundational ones.

Tomorrow, a strange and frightening example of claims of China’s Xi Who Must Be Obeyed and an occult ritual to prolong his life.

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3 Comments

  1. Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra

    Evidence is not accepted on faith; that is what evidence consists of: it is immediately grasped. Demonstrations begin in the most obvious to end in the least obvious. Principles are principles, because they are naturally the most obvious and, quoad nos, they are absolutely the most obvious. If you say that you accept evidence on faith, that is a contradiction: faith is of what cannot be seen, so, when something is demonstrated, faith ceases. But the most serious thing is that, if the case were as you claim it is, there would be no science; that argument is self-destructive, self-refuting… It is one of those Cartesian-Kantian lies that crept into “realistic” thinking through people like Reinach [or, as I understand it, through Chesterton, at a more popular level], who invented the idea of the bridge to reality, the attempt to prove the evident: the attempt to defeat idealistic doubt by accepting its ridiculous postulates is a dead end. One simply accepts what is evident because it is evident; that is what ‘evident’ means. I know I am writing because I know I am writing, not because of faith: I would need faith, if I didn’t have direct experience of it. The undemonstrable character of principles stems from the fact that, being the most evident thing, they are the basis of everything, since, again, proof goes from the most evident to the least evident and is absolutely so if it is reduced to the absolutely most evident. Maybe, one way is distinguish between strict evidence and conclusions that are underpinned by reasoning, even if it is directly from principles; besides, you cannot call ‘principle’ something that isn’t, just because is a proposition you accept as foundational: a principle is an absolutely first proposition; other types of ‘principle’ (I mean, when you are speaking in a “relaxed” –not rigorous– way) are not properly axioms or ‘dignities’ (as Aristotle used to call them), are just such in a derivative, improper sense of the word.

  2. brad.tittle

    This atheist is where he is largely because the term atheist keeps the religious zealots at bay. The proprietor of Numberwatch.co.uk (which brought me to this house of reason) told me the precise worse was agnostic. The problem with that word is that it puts a damn target on my back that draws those attempting to change me with fervor… I might have anecdotes that make me think there is a higher power in play. Then there is the narrative that comes from most pulpits that leads me to believe that many…not all.. people with a calling to the faith are half a step from having a calling to charlatanism…

    If judgement comes, I hope he will base that judgement on the evidence of my life and how I interacted with people and not my lack of faith. I might still be cast into outer darkness. But god gave me a brain. Being thrown into outer darkness should be the consequence of not fully using the brain rather than not fully devoting myself to some variant of him as expressed by the pontifications of leaders of faiths.

    But god might be hiding in the statistics.

    He is not hiding in the p-value. He is not hiding in positive correlation. When we climb pile of all that is not and look back at all that is still not proven to not be, we might discern that which is. Science discovers what is not part of the tapestry of life. It does not tell us what is.

  3. brad.tittle

    Science gives me all kinds of faith. When a leaf falls, the physics gives me a rough idea of what should happen. If a leaf stops falling after having detached itself from a tree, my first approximation is something stopped it from falling. If, upon inspection, the leaf is not being held up by anything … no breeze, no string, no filament of the divine spider… I will stop and reassess what the f is going on…

    Because something has changed.

    Most likely I am dreaming… Stuff like this has happened in my dreams.

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