Briggs

The Week In Doom — Diversity Statement Edition

Item More Colleges Are Asking Scholars for Diversity Statements. Here's What You Need to Know (emphasis mine) The statements tend to be one page, maybe two. In them, scholars are…

Statistics

Theoretical Basis Of Sampling: Reader Question

From Ernst: I was wondering if you could help me as a layman grasp a problem I'm wrestling with. Say I have a large tray and pour a gallon of…

Culture Statistics

More Asinine Global Warming Research — Introducing ‘Climate Liar’

This is a follow-up to yesterday's post. None of these "studies" merits a full-scale analysis, but they are silly enough to warrant a moment or two of your attention. Item…

Statistics

Another Reason To Cheer For Global Warming: More Male Births!

Men, we must all admit, are the better sex. It something needs killing, you call a man. We're taller and our looks improve whilst sporting a moustache. And talk about…

Culture

Pope Signs Document Nobody Asked Him To Sign

So the Pope did what nobody was asking him to do: sign a document that appears to have emanated from Harvard's SJW dungeon, the same serpent that had such a…

Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Preserves All Things In Being

Previous post. Being didn't happen for no reason, and the so-called laws of physics, or whatever is being claimed to be at base, such as quantum "fluctuations", cannot account for…

Culture

This Week In Doom — Men Can Have Abortions Edition

Item Northam on Abortion Bill: Infant Could Be Delivered and Then 'Physicians and the Mother' Could Decide If It Lives Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam (D.) commented Wednesday about a controversial…

Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025
Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…
Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025
Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…
Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025
Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…
Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025
I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…
hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025
I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…