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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Hurricane paper featured on AIR-Worldwide

Roger Pielke, Jr., who's at the University of Colorado Center for Science Technology Policy Research, has written a year-end summary of the 2007 hurricane season. The summary appears in two…
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Posted inStatistics

Now only 32.8% of people believe the polls: Did New Hampshire let us down?

Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday's Democrat primary? Here are the results:…
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Posted inFun

An unfortunate loss of a good joke: leftist thinking finally overtakes math parody

There was an old, and sadly funny joke about the Evolution of Math Quizzes that went like this: 1960s A logger cuts and sells a truckload of lumber for $100.…
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Posted inStatistics

Don Imus sidekick makes a point with a failed joke

Just heard Don Imus, who was attempting to explain why he wasn't being sarcastic when he said "At least [George Bush] did something right" because we have not been attacked…
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Posted inStatistics

A safe, but misleading, prediction about global warming

Reuters's, on 3 January, had this headline, "2008 to be in top 10 warmest years say forecasters." A quote: 2008 will be slightly cooler than recent years globally but will…
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Posted inStatistics

Asinine comparison of holocaust deniers and honest scientists

Some guy named Joel Connelly at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has written another one of those "We must do something now" global warming articles. What makes his piece distinct is that…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Mr. Word’s definition of the day: to change

"To alter; to make different; to cause to pass from one state to another; as, to change the position, character, or appearance of a thing; to change the countenance." --…
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Posted inStatistics

How much does winning Iowa and New Hampshire help?

On the earlier poll thread, a reader asked "What's your opinion about the statistical summary of past results of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries?" pointing out data from Neatorama.com.…
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  1. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  2. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

  3. hudbwu on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJuly 1, 2025

    > It is a characteristic of the breed—on average: we speak in generalities here—that in any argument women do not…

  4. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  5. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

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