Class – Page 8 – William M. Briggs

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! We have…

Class Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IV

Review! Code coming next week! Last time we decided to put ourselves in the mind of a dean and ask for the chance of CGPA falling into one of these…

Class Statistics

Parameters Aren’t What You Think

I was asked to comment on a post by Dan Simpson exploring the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. This post fits in with the Data Science class, a happy coincidence, and has…

Class Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III

You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying "What did I miss?" Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part III: Ergodicity & All That

Read Part I, Part II Ergodic in probability has a technical definition. Without going into mathematical details (which are fine except possibly when applied), a "sequence" is defined as a…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part II: Skin in the Game

Read Part I It is in one sense fortunate that the mathematical, or rather quantitative, roots of probability began with gambling. Routine gambles are easy to understand, and the calculations…

Class Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…

Class Statistics

Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement

Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…

Johnno on The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!April 30, 2025
R.I.P. Solar Panels.
p on I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate LiabilityApril 30, 2025
My guess (my expertise on law comes entirely from entertainment TV) is that you can't sue because many of your…
McChuck on Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your MoneyApril 30, 2025
Why, precisely, should I grieve the potential deaths of millions of Africans from their own stupidity? That's what we're really…
Ignacio García Blanco on Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help RequestedApril 29, 2025
Hey Dr. Briggs. I just resent the e-mail. The subject line begins with "Inquiry regarding..." Thanks in advance.
brad.tittle on Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your MoneyApril 29, 2025
I read your tag and was expecting to see a discussions of someone telling OF models to suggest that if…