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William M. Briggs

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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! We have…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IV
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IV

Review! Code coming next week! Last time we decided to put ourselves in the mind of a dean and ask for the chance of CGPA falling into one of these…
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Parameters Aren’t What You Think
Posted inClass Statistics

Parameters Aren’t What You Think

I was asked to comment on a post by Dan Simpson exploring the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. This post fits in with the Data Science class, a happy coincidence, and has…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III

You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying "What did I miss?" Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part III: Ergodicity & All That

Read Part I, Part II Ergodic in probability has a technical definition. Without going into mathematical details (which are fine except possibly when applied), a "sequence" is defined as a…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part II: Skin in the Game

Read Part I It is in one sense fortunate that the mathematical, or rather quantitative, roots of probability began with gambling. Routine gambles are easy to understand, and the calculations…
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Posted inClass Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement

Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…
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  1. McChuck on IQ Is Not IntelligenceMay 30, 2025

    "Ceci n'est pas une pipe."

  2. C-Marie on IQ Is Not IntelligenceMay 30, 2025

    So, my younger sister, when she was in the fifth grade, took what was called, an Intelligence test back in…

  3. JH on Class 52: The Origin Of ParametersMay 29, 2025

    Notation is crucial in math. I still remember how confused I was when my professors made writ-os in the equations…

  4. Briggs on Class 52: The Origin Of ParametersMay 29, 2025

    Thanks, Lou.

  5. Lou on Class 52: The Origin Of ParametersMay 29, 2025

    Hello, You requested some feedback; Please just keep going, I like the math Regards

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