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Posted inCulture Philosophy

“Freedom Includes Total Diversity”

Here's the setup. That wise man Barack Obama nominated James "Wally" Brewster Jr. as Ambassador to the Dominican Republic. Brewster is a well known "bundler" to the administration, adept at…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Government Became Unstoppable Yesterday

Regardless whether you cheered or wept at yesterday's DOMA ruling, you will have done nothing but affirmed your own uninformed prejudices if you do not read the opinions of the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Direct And Inverse Probability: The Bayesian Way

Class is almost over! Just three days (including today) left. I'm way behind reading comments. All logic, of which probability is an example, begins with a fixed list of premises…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayes Always Works: An Answer To Senn; Part V

Read Part IV. We're almost done. Only one more after this. There are examples without number of the proper use of Bayes's Theorem: the probability you have cancer given a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Probability Is Conditional: An Answer To Senn; Part IV

Read Part III. Still with me? Hope so, because we're only on the second page of Senn's article (but don't fret; we'll be skipping most of it). Review: in logical-probability…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Isn’t “Fair”: An Answer To Senn; Part III

A quick reminder that we're trying to unpack the meaning of the "is fair" in the proposition "This die is fair," and trying to deduce the probability this proposition is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is Only One Kind Of Probability: An Answer To Senn; Part II

Read Part I. Some of this material is explained in detail in this series. Just after the introduction, Senn starts his argument by claiming an "important distinction between two types…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayes Is More Than Probably Right: An Answer To Senn; Part I

Stephen Senn very kindly answered a post I wrote on p-values (Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die) by sending me his "You May Believe You Are a Bayesian…
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  1. Thousands of Millions to be Eased | contrary2belief on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 7, 2026

    […] William M. Briggs, Statistician to the Stars identifies the easing of morals and ethics in academia. […]

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    Any volunteers to contribute to the easing? Hello? Anyone...?

  3. Fubsy on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    We can call it "The Great Easement"

  4. C-Marie on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    Knowingly, or not, they are writing of the coming New World Order in which they will not include the Triune…

  5. Cary Cotterman on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    The population is (according to the paper) about four times what it was a century ago. As we know, the…

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