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Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

A curious question made its way around the interwebs recently, and not for the first time. By itself, it does not appear to be that interesting. And it isn't, really.…
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UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Regular readers know I have been predicting our return to the 1970s (here and here). Not directly, you understand. There will be no bell-bottom pants or leisure suits, but only…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

A lot of conversations about the differences between the races go like this one about sex. "Briggs, somebody told me you said men are taller than women." I said it.…
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What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Might I beg you, if you find it useful, to show this article to those who are growing concerned or agitated about this story? Don't miss the ending. We hear…
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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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How A Miracle Turns Mundane
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

There is a great and terrible danger in being a strict immovable literalist and in insisting every word in the Bible as written is the inerrant absolute word of God.…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    I'm probably going to croak sometime within the next twenty years, but at least I have the pleasure of being…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    There are thousand year old machines in England still capable of running, though not in general use. I saw a…

  3. NLR on Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism ManifestoOctober 26, 2026

    All of this is vast speculation. Is it possible for people to live much longer, hundreds of years? Maybe so.…

  4. John Pate on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 23, 2026

    The plasticity available in the brain and CNS is the confounding factor. Nature via nurture. What actually gets expressed is…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026

    Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?

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