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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist
Posted inStatistics

Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist

If you are here reading this, because some of you might not be here (if you follow me), be thankful you were not invited to Muzainy Shahiefisally's house for Thanksgiving.…
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
Posted inStatistics

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

It's called "A Manifesto Against the Enemies of Modernity", co-authored with the aptly surnamed Helen Pluckrose. A fisking would produce an article sized to rival Gibbon, since Lindsay and Pluckrose…
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The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
Posted inStatistics

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
Posted inStatistics

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

Guns, which is to say the arms most commonly used, such as pistols, revolvers and rifles, very infrequently discharge accidentally. Rare incidents have been noted in which weapons fire when…
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The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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