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AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
Posted inStatistics

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Here is a typical calm well-reasoned take on computer models (a.k.a. AI): I pointed out: "Stop terrorizing yourself. AI is just computer models, hooked to the wall by cords that…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
Posted inStatistics

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart at age four gave what was by all accounts a terrific piano recital, the first of many. In more recent times, Kit Armstrong (now 33) at age…
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Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
Posted inStatistics

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Not long ago, a 16 year old girl had her breasts sliced off because a therapist convinced her she was a boy. A surgeon sharpened his scalpel and did the…
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Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

There are two new claims from last week that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been reached, as detailed in Tree of Woe's recent article on the subject. One claim is…
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Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
Posted inStatistics

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

The hersterical (there is no misspelling) headline: "Polar bears are 'rewriting their DNA' to survive warming Arctic, study suggests" (one of many who "reported" on this). I suppose it's good…
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Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
Posted inStatistics

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

Here is a recent LSAT question setup (thanks to Thanatos Savehn for pointing it out): And here are the possible answers: Please take a moment to think and answer. Do…
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How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)
Posted inStatistics

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

The experiment with women's suffrage, driven originally and sustained by Equality, is about a century old. Let's look at one simple number. Here from the US Census, June 2020, are…
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  1. Eric Kay Sci Fi on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  2. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  3. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  5. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

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