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William M. Briggs

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Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
Posted inStatistics

Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…
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Another Proof Against P-Value Reasoning
Posted inStatistics

Another Proof Against P-Value Reasoning

This isn't so much an extra proof, but a clarification on one of the proofs used in "Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof" (the first two arguments). Calculation of…
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Science Without God Is Incomplete
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Science Without God Is Incomplete

Either God exists or He does not. If He does not, then science does not matter. Nothing does. Anything anybody does is mere prejudice, whim. There is no good, there…
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Pick A Random Number From 1-10
Posted inStatistics

Pick A Random Number From 1-10

For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…
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Proof Global Warming Is Asinine
Posted inStatistics

Proof Global Warming Is Asinine

Now that the Democrats are poised to triumph over the House, we shall soon daily hear from the likes of Nancy Pelosi and the appalling Raul Grijalva on the tedious…
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New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
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New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing

Here's a link to the PDF. Briggs, WM, HT Nguyen, D Trafimow, 2019. The Replacement for Hypothesis Testing. In Structural Changes and Their Econometric Modeling, Springer, V Kreinovich, S Sriboonchitta…
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The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…
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  1. Hun on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    Maybe the populations of countries like Germany, Finland, Italy and Spain can't recover anymore, but there is always an endless…

  2. Heresolong on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    I read somewhere that the "Ultra Low" is the level below which societies reach a tipping point and don't, or…

  3. shawn marshall on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 20, 2025

    Many years ago as a young Dad of three the cost of college was a constant nagging concern. There should…

  4. Hun on What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?May 19, 2025

    He looks like a fine fella. What are the stats now? 13/56?

  5. Buzz on Against The Anthropic PrincipleMay 17, 2025

    Aren't men supposed to keep their hair short and women long, according to the Bible? Regarding the image.

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