Statistics – Page 158 – William M. Briggs

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…

Philosophy Statistics

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Intellect Is Not The Senses

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Two more…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…

Culture Statistics

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying

Stream: Why Mainline Churches Are Emptying. The Episcopal Church in America reached peak membership in 1959, with about 3.5 million baptized members, rising from just over one million in a…

Statistics

Probability Three Points On A Line & Measurement Paradoxes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVH4MS6v23U Reader Neil Taylor points us to the video above, which is a jumping point for the larger question (be sure to watch the video first): In [the video] Professor…

Culture Fun Philosophy Statistics

A Coincidence: Coyne Zinged Me Before I Him — Or, The Coyne Fallacy Redux

After posting yesterday's article, Jerry Coyne Doesn't Have Free Will (poor fellow), I immediately saw hits coming to my place from Coyne's. It turned out that, unbeknownst to me, the…

Culture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2017—Register Yours Today!

Once more unto the breach! We did well last year, but we had the advantage of a neat unambiguous set of predictions all could make, i.e. the United States primaries…

Culture Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?

This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the…

Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…
Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…
NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…
McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
“Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…
NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…