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Posted inStatistics

The Politicization Of Science Organizations: The Firing Of Michael Lubell

What might pass for a small item reveals much about the state of science, and in particular about science organizations. The stately American Physical Society, a political-scientific, or scientific-political, or…
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Posted inStatistics

Scott Adams’s Climate Science Challenge

Scott Adams's Climate Science Challenge is of interest---thanks to reader Francsois for bringing it to our attention---because of his name-brand recognition. Here is the gist: So today's challenge is to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Some Statistics On What The Sexual Rebellion Wraught

I'm always complaining of statistics gone awry, but a constant diet of bad news can lead to bad things, like a desire to listen to NPR or to use PowerPoint.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Who’s Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Stream: Who's Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls? The NBC News story "Female Doctors Outperform Male Doctors, According to Study" makes these bold claims. Patients treated by women are…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Mugging Is Silly: Events Don’t “Have” Probabilities

Before we begin, see this similar article about a different mugging scenario, which demonstrated that all probability is conditional and that decision isn't probability. Here's the serious version of Pascal's…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Statistician to the Stars For Hire!

Herein our semi-annual reminder that the purpose of this blog is mercenary. Filthy lucre is both impetus and goal of its daily readings. Moola, the spondulicks, the government's glory, the…
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Posted inStatistics

Muggings, Nuclear Devices, Probability & Decision

Somehow I ended up on the curious site LessWrong.com, directed by somebody with the nickname Yud (from Eliezer Yudkowsky). Odd isn't in it. Investigating it led me to Reddit and…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

  2. Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…

  3. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    Not sure why the dollar signs did not work and made everything italicized, but the sentence should say: If the…

  4. McChuck on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    “Blue pushers are useless cattle. I’d feel no dread knowing they would all die.” Yes. The colors of the buttons…

  5. NLR on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you point out, the whole thing with these questions is in the initial setup. Whoever invented this one, deliberately…

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