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Posted inCulture Statistics

Democracy And The Inevitable Erosion Of Standards: Racist Tests Edition

Democracies are born from elite (hierarchical) societies and for a time can and do retain much of their elitism, but since democracy is premised on egalitarianism ("We hold these truths..."),…
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Posted inStatistics

George Gilder’s Information Theory Of Money

This is the second part of a review of George Gilder's monograph The 21st Century Case for Gold: A New Information Theory of Money. The first part, about the return…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups

Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered

https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition

3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…
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Posted inStatistics

Lancet Editor: Half Of Science Is Wrong. An Underestimate?

Half of science may be wrong? That may be an underestimate. But at least Richard Horton, the editor in chief of The Lancet, is in the right ballpark. Ballpark? That…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed

The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…
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  1. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    ...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…

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    If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…

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    The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…

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    Mark, That's exactly it.

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    Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

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