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House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics
Posted inStatistics

House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science Panics

Our rulers, as much as we criticize them, exceed at one thing. Spending your money. Few rulers in history have mastered the art as well as ours have. They have…
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Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?
Posted inStatistics

Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?

We did Newcomb's Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would be fun to revisit, because I had some new ideas…
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As Woke Falls, What Rises?
Posted inStatistics

As Woke Falls, What Rises?

In the heat of the Great Awokening, when it burned its brightest, many on the side of Reality tried their hand at defining woke. My own effort was a stubborn…
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Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)
Posted inStatistics

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

All can and should read this post! Not just those actively taking the Class. This is an introduction to Epidemiology, a science which has done tremendous damage to clear thinking.…
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Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?
Posted inStatistics

Who’s Better at Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Keeping with Fadeback Fridays, which is soon to be an international success, this classic post, which originally ran on 23 December 2016. It's yet another in an endless supply of…
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How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)
Posted inStatistics

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

We continue our leisurely and in-depth study of the works of David Stove. We're still with his book On Enlightenment. This article is long, so if you're short of time,…
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Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work
Posted inStatistics

Science Model Told To Say Masks Work Discovers Masks Work

Ladies and gentlemen---and you, too, Hagfish---I present to you Science! In the form of the picture that heads today's post. This delightful children's drawing, presumably winning the Special Needs Science…
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In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)
Posted inStatistics

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

Richard Feynman wasn't the first to suggest negative probabilities. That recognition goes to Paul Dirac, who introduced them and negative energies at the same time---because he thought these things explained…
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  1. Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.

  2. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

  3. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  5. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

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