Statistics – Page 246 – William M. Briggs

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part II (update)

Read Part I: Again, the text (up to this part) has been corrected and expanded. Recall our overarching---our only---goal. We want to know whether the sweet old lady "has the…

Philosophy Statistics

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part I (updated)

Since the subject arose yesterday, and for other reasons which I'll explain later, I thought we should revisit this series, which ran a year ago. I have edited and expanded…

Statistics

Dawkins On The Double-Blind Experiment

The Edge every year asks top science celebrities a penetrating, yet fun, always fun, question. Last year's was "What scientific concept would improve everybody's cognitive toolkit?" One of the correspondent…

Philosophy Statistics

Statement Of Teaching Philosophy

Regular readers will know that I have been searching for (continuous) employment as a teacher. Most colleges and universities ask applicants to supply "a statement of teaching philosophy", while a…

Philosophy Statistics

The Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox Isn’t

Background A paradox is a mistake in thinking; an artificial, human creation which usually arises because a conclusion which follows from a set of beloved premises is itself unloved. Twitter…

Culture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…

Fun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…

Richard S. on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
Thank you, Dr. Briggs for your concise piece focusing primarily upon whether leftist "liberal" elites can be persuaded by facts…
Uncle Mike on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
"The joyful slaughter of millions" is addicting. They can't stop. No one can stop them, except by killing them, which…
Richard Stevens on Stay The Course: Have Some ClassNovember 4, 2025
Zelle Donation on its way! Dr. Briggs, you're a rare and cherished commodity in this era! Loved your "Everything" book…
spetzer86 on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
NLR - there's always Google on African massacres. Stuff happens all over, even if you live on a continent that…
NLR on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
For some time now, equality has been used as a bludgeon, but the people implementing it are not acting in…