Statistics – Page 258 – William M. Briggs

Increasing Replication Of Un-Reproducibility In Science

Best science picture of the year, courtesy of the Wall Street Journal (and thanks to reader Dan Hughes): In just the last decade---ten mere years---the number of "peer-reviewed" journal articles…

Statistics

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Brian (bulaoren) on The Consent FallacyJanuary 7, 2026
A few days ago, I watched. a re-run of "Leave it to Beaver". In it, Beaver felt quite humiliated when…
Uncle Mike on On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing BeliefsJanuary 7, 2026
Dear C-Marie, No. H.R. 3492 is specifically about child mutilations and related atrocities. Abortion is a different issue, as are…
BobH on Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor KillingsJanuary 6, 2026
Thank you C-Marie. Thank you for the reminders of the greatness of our Lord and Savior. I will share these…
JerryM on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 6, 2026
1. Trump's health take turn for worse and he must resign and JD takes over. 2. Ukraine SMO finally ends…
Keith on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 6, 2026
1. Trump does not finish the year as president, likely through resignation but possibly because of health reasons. 2. Kansas…