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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

How Republican Is The Country?

This picture tells the story: The percent of seats of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Presidency are plotted, starting in the year of the relevant election. I…
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Posted inStatistics

Anti-Tobacco Lobbying Is Bad For You

There is a smoking story making the rounds here in New York. Seems the New York State Legislature has cut funding thirty-percent to its anti-smoking program. These cuts were over…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Are Men Smarter Than Women?

The Question No. That is to say, Yes. But not really. Actually, what we have here is an badly phrased question: just what do we mean when we ask "Are…
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Posted inStatistics

Actions Speak Louder Than Words: Guest post by Frank Wallace

Join me with welcoming Frank Wallace, a person with not a little experience in operating under conflicting government regulations. The subject of uranium mining and its various proscriptions and prescriptions…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Confidence Intervals, Logic, Induction

Induction "Because all the many flames observed before have been hot is a good reason to believe this flame will be hot" is an example of an inductive argument, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Truth of Things: When Probability & Statistics Cannot Be Used

I am always struggling with (my limited ability of) finding ways to describe the philosophy behind logical probability, especially to people who have a difficult time unlearning classical frequentist theory.…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Poem Code Challenge Solution

Back in September we surrendered to our geek roots and described poem codes. These are a handy method of enciphering short messages in the absence of electronic equipment. A poem…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Experimental Economics Irrational?

Everybody knows there's no such thing as money. So how come everybody acts like it's real? In particular, why do economists and other similar creatures find the lack of "rationality"…
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  1. shawn marshall on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 10, 2025

    when in the military from 1969 to 1971 I was disabused of and notion of the Holy black man -…

  2. hudbwu on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 10, 2025

    Yeah, if you need this much math to SEE the signal in the first place, then the state didn't whack…

  3. Briggs on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    gareth, Excellent point. See this week's class.

  4. gareth on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    Dear Briggs - you keep quoting "Probability of Data Not Seen GIVEN Hypothesis is False". You know of which you…

  5. Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    Je ne sais pas.

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