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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Obama’s New Nuke Policy: Preemptive Appeasement

A horrific scenario I hope never occurs: Washington D.C. was attacked today by Country X. Agents from X unleashed a massive chemical and biological barrage. Tens of thousands lie dead…
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Posted inStatistics

Short New York Real Estate Because of Global Warming?

Stevey Cohen, head of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, wants you to short New York City real estate. He doesn't actually say that---Stevey isn't a broker and his statements…
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Posted inFun Statistics

There Are No Left-Handed Catchers, Pitchers Are Tall: Baseball Biometrics

No Major League team employs, on its active 25-man roster, a left-handed throwing catcher. About 9 percent of people are lefties, and 63 men in baseball are listed as catchers,…
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Posted inStatistics

Gladwell, Gottman, and Abraham on Predicting Divorce

Despite the best efforts of their wives, some married men remain recalcitrant and uncooperative. They refuse to or are incapable of taking their training seriously. Some of these men, who…
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Posted inStatistics

“Humans are too stupid to prevent climate change” Lovelock

James Lovelock knows of what he speaks: personal experience allows him to say that a lot of humans aren't that bright. But Lovelock forgets that while there are many---half!---who are…
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Posted inStatistics

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part II

Read Part I Cap & Trade & Tax & Spend is not dead. It was never even ailing. It's healthy and alert and standing in the corner, unnoticed. It has…
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Posted inStatistics

2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I

Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…
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Posted inStatistics

Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast

Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…
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  1. Briggs on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    gareth, Excellent point. See this week's class.

  2. gareth on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 9, 2025

    Dear Briggs - you keep quoting "Probability of Data Not Seen GIVEN Hypothesis is False". You know of which you…

  3. Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    Je ne sais pas.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    Ou sont les neiges d'antan?

  5. Lucy Tucker on The False Expectation Of PermanenceSeptember 9, 2025

    “ t I propose it is mostly because we're so short-lived that we cannot comprehend or abide environmental change. "The…

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