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The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator
Posted inStatistics

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…
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Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…
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How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…
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The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors

The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
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Something Has Gone Seriously Wrong With “Climate Change” Science
Posted inStatistics

Something Has Gone Seriously Wrong With “Climate Change” Science

When my boys and I seize power and I become emperor, the very first thing I do (after having the mess hosed clean) is to place a strict two-year moratorium…
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Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air

A toxin, as the redoubtable reader undoubtedly knows, is a poison. And a poison, says Mr Webster, is that which causes "morbid, noxious, or deadly effects". People who ingest or…
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All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Posted inStatistics

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
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Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal

That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…
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  1. McChuck on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    It's not just you. SciFi and Fantasy died in the 1980's, and was buried under a mountain of dreck in…

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  3. Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

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