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Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Solved: The Best Bayesian Prior To Use In Every Situation

Kevin Gray is back with another question, this time about priors. His last led to the post "Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed." (The answer was…
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There Was No Panic In The Similar 1957-58 Pandemic; But Panic Galore For Coronadoom
Posted inStatistics

There Was No Panic In The Similar 1957-58 Pandemic; But Panic Galore For Coronadoom

There is much fun contrasting earlier approaches to pandemics and our Great Global Panic, now entering it's third---and final?---year. Let's take the 1957-1958 Asian (the novel H2N2) flu, the worst…
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Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed
Posted inStatistics

Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed

The answer is yes. Or, if you prefer, no. It depends. Here's a long query about the subject from friend-of-the-blog Kevin Gray. Over the years many have disagreed about many…
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CDC Data: Up To 90% Or More Of Americans Already Infected
Posted inStatistics

CDC Data: Up To 90% Or More Of Americans Already Infected

Seen this? That's the number of daily infections reported to the CDC -- which they mistakenly call "cases", but let that pass. The bump up is, as you've heard, caused…
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Science Proves Unemployment Cures Covid — Coronadoom Update CXIV
Posted inStatistics

Science Proves Unemployment Cures Covid — Coronadoom Update CXIV

We still await the blessings or curses of the so-called Supreme Court. Since we don't know what they will do, we cannot say much about it. What I can do…
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The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model — The Dangerous Video YouTube Censors Don’t Want You To See!
Posted inPodcast Statistics

The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model — The Dangerous Video YouTube Censors Don’t Want You To See!

As we await the Supreme Court announcement on whether we are now slaves in the hands of Experts, or only will be at some future date, a small (large) talk.…
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The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII
Posted inStatistics

The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII

Well, what more can we say that we haven't, and dozens of times? Although there is, here and there, some hope the panic is waning, female Safety Firsters, effeminates and…
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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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  1. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

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