Statistics – Page 61 – William M. Briggs

The Great Global Warming—A.K.A. “Climate Change”—A.K.A. “Climate Emergency”—Post!

This is mainly a catch up post for new readers who won't recall the old days. Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, or Gab. I'm late on this! STATE…

Statistics

Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models

Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…

Statistics

How Do You Know If An Experiment Works? Or, Yet Another Argument Against P-values

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Anon asks questions about models (I added the bold question brackets and the link). Pay attention most closely to [Q2], which…

Statistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…

Statistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…

Fun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…

Statistics

What Limits Do Experts Have? EPA and Carbon Dioxide as “Pollution”

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. There is a fascinating exchange on the principle of Experts Decide All Things vs. what we might call subsidiarity from the…

Briggs on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026
Anon. I believe you'll find they are the same. I did a little shorthand by first taking the absolute value…
Anonymous on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 13, 2026
Errata: your moneyline formula should have (x - 100) in the denominator for -x.
Dana on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026
I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…
John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026
1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…
Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026
It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.