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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
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Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off
Posted inStatistics

Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off

There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article "The Gambler Who Beat Roulette", and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose…
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Is AI Really Able To Probe Your Brain & See The Image You’re Thinking Of?
Posted inStatistics

Is AI Really Able To Probe Your Brain & See The Image You’re Thinking Of?

There's a rumor going around that computers can now read your thoughts. That "AI" can pick off images you're thinking about. Here's one of many similar breathless headlines: "The AI…
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The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…
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Broken Science Talks Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Broken Science Talks Now Online

Our first ever Broken Science event was in February, and the talks are now online. Watch them all here. These are all up late because the sound was busted, and,…
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  1. Johnno on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Well, hopefully they enjoy those longer lives while they last, because there is an eternity in Hell waiting for them…

  2. ~Nona on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Self-serving comment? Maybe. BUT it was really interesting to read. As a child I lived next door to a centenarian.…

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    When I was a kid, in the 1960s in the U.S., every adult in my family, and most of their…

  4. John Pate on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    If they're just keeping dementia patients alive longer because it's profitable for the medical industrial complex then we're not really…

  5. Robert Sides on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    A totally self-serving question (although, one that I know you could work through). If of no value to the whole,…

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