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Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines;  The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs;  More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
Posted inStatistics

Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII

WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…
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Academics Fail To Prove COVID Lockdowns Were Painless and Effective
Posted inStatistics

Academics Fail To Prove COVID Lockdowns Were Painless and Effective

Maybe you have a story like this. A barber I know was shut down by one of the lockdowns various state governments experimented with during the coronadoom panic, in a…
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Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII
Posted inStatistics

Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…
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Our Coming Murder & Crime Wave
Posted inCulture Statistics

Our Coming Murder & Crime Wave

In 2020, we saw a large increase in murders. Homicides were up 30% from 2019, an increase which is called "historic". "[G]un assault and aggravated assault rates climbed 8 percent…
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Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More
Posted inStatistics

Random Means Unknown Cause — And Nothing More

I've used this gimmick many times, so regular readers, please, shhh. I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 4. What is it? To you the number is random, because…
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COVID IS NO LONGER A MAJOR DISEASE; Gain-Of-Lethality Experiments; Vexations; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXI & Heading To Infinity!
Posted inStatistics

COVID IS NO LONGER A MAJOR DISEASE; Gain-Of-Lethality Experiments; Vexations; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXI & Heading To Infinity!

GAIN-OF-FUNCTION TESTS You'll have heard of these by now. These studies, funded by such luminaries as the Fabulous "Masks Forever" Fauci, monkey with viruses to make them more lethal, ostensibly…
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If All Models Only Say What They’re Told To Say, Can We Learn From Them? Mask Model Example
Posted inStatistics

If All Models Only Say What They’re Told To Say, Can We Learn From Them? Mask Model Example

From reader Goncalo Dias comes this excellent question: I have just sat through your seminar on (super-)models. [LINK] I have a quick question: if you assume some fluid mechanical properties…
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Vexxine Harms , Deaths & Passports; Mask Madness; More! — Coronavirus Update LXX & Heading To Infinity!
Posted inStatistics

Vexxine Harms , Deaths & Passports; Mask Madness; More! — Coronavirus Update LXX & Heading To Infinity!

BURDEN OF PROOF I remind readers that we skeptics have no burden whatsoever to prove that mask mandates and lockdowns don't work, or even that experimental vaccines don't cause harm.…
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  1. Robert Arvanitis on Academics Call Pregnancy A DiseaseMay 12, 2025

    In the most charitable interpretation, perhaps the authors meant to protect medical benefits and employment protection to "birthing persons..." If…

  2. E C on Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical StatisticsMay 10, 2025

    If I understand your linked article in Academic Questions correctly, it seems frequentism is a classic example of tunnel-vision; or,…

  3. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  4. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  5. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

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