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Model Moronicity, The Mask god & Cuomo’s Cut Throat— Coronavirus Update LIV
Posted inStatistics

Model Moronicity, The Mask god & Cuomo’s Cut Throat— Coronavirus Update LIV

SICK Are you as sick as I am of these damned updates? Of idiot government overreaction and putrid public panic? SUMMARY Tests are dropping, as is positivity: you'd expect positivity…
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Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function

Note to the colleague who wrote me. I lost your email! You asked excellent questions about the post Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix, which I meant…
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Mask – Model – Medication – Mass  Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII
Posted inStatistics

Mask – Model – Medication – Mass Hysteria — Coronavirus Update LIII

MASS HYSTERIA There is already a paper on people going nuts: COVID-19 and the Political Economy of Mass Hysteria by Bagus et al. Abstract (with added paragraphifications by me): In…
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Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…
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Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof
Posted inStatistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…
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Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition
Posted inStatistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…
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Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII
Posted inStatistics

Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII

EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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  1. terry-oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    Dear Briggs iBefore proceeding with your book, i recommend that you read the book entitled 'Foundations of Inductive Reading' the…

  2. Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…

  3. JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025

    But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol

  4. NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  5. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

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