Statistics – Page 96 – William M. Briggs

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

Statistics

Lindell Comes Up Short In His Absolute Proof

Mike Lindell, like Time magazine, questioned 2020's election results. Lindell says the election was shifted from Trump to Biden, which he decried. Time used the brand new euphemism fortified to…

Statistics

Diversity Is Our Weakness: Families, Spies & Colleges Edition

Update I'm in Twitter jail again! HAHAHAHA. Supposed to be released 7 PM tonight, if I behave myself. HAHAHAHAHAHA! What our elders wisely called the clash of cultures has under…

Statistics

Infections Drop! Experts Baffled! — Coronavirus Update LII

EXPERTOLOGY The Daily Mail headline is that "experts" were "baffled" that coronadoom "cases", by which they mean infections, fell by 50%, and that (in another headlines) they were "plummeting". One…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Statistics

Mask Me, Darling—Why We Know Masks Don’t Work: Coronavirus Update LI

MASKS The Fabulous Fauci---who likes seeing himself on camera more than Narcissus adored his reflection---was out last week touting triple, or maybe it was quadruple, masks. After all, if one…

Statistics

WHO PCR Test False Positive Fiasco: Coronavirus Update L

WHO KNEW The WHO last week admonished the world to watch the Ct level of PCR tests. Too high gives too many false positives. False positives artificially boost "case" numbers,…

Statistics

Disproving Kossin’s Increasing Hurricane Intensity Claims: Update — Guest Post by Greg Kent

Editor's note I have strong views on statistical "significance", confidence intervals, p-values, and all that, finding them harmful and worse. However, Kossin used these concepts, and a criticism of his…

Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…
C-Marie on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026
Sooo sad about Richard Dawkins. I just prayed for Holy Spirit revelation of Jesus Christ to him. Here is hoping…
Rudolph Harrier on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026
I once had an old freezer and I wasn't sure if it was working properly. Since at the time I…
John Pate on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 5, 2026
Dawkins is leaning in to the idea that we've defined consciousness as what we are seeing the AI chatbots produce.…
Phileas Frogg on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 5, 2026
Push the Red button then order my entire family to do the same, because we are not obligated to risk…