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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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On Cause In Probability Models
Posted inStatistics

On Cause In Probability Models

Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence
Posted inStatistics

That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence

Find by general acclaim the smartest man in the world. Call this man "Group A". Call everybody else "Group B". There will necessarily be a group difference in mean intelligence,…
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Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Posted inStatistics

Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll

Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
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New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…
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Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested

From reader Kip Hansen comes a long but good (and slightly edited) question on sea level data. I can only answer part of it, because I have no expertise in…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Grade Manipulation In STEM Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Grade Manipulation In STEM Edition

Here are two recent examples, of many, with many more to come, of the pozzing of science by grade deflation. Meaning the lowering of standards as measured by grades. LADIES…
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  1. spaceranger on Peer-Reviewed Research: Men Find Looking At Nearly Naked Women DistractingJuly 25, 2025

    I thought this was one of the strategies the casinos use to give the house an edge.

  2. Rudolph Harrier on Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate ThisJuly 25, 2025

    Frank Frazetta and Larry Elmore did more for art than 95% of modern "artists."

  3. FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on Does Watching TV Cause Autism?July 25, 2025

    […] After 50 Years of Failed “Ministry” – Jn. Horvat at Tradition, Family, & PropertyDoes Watching TV Cause Autism? – William…

  4. BDavi52 on Peer-Reviewed Research: Men Find Looking At Nearly Naked Women DistractingJuly 24, 2025

    I'm afraid this study -- from the Bad Old Days of 2008 -- very probably suffers from the now, sadly,…

  5. NLR on Only Credentialed Artists Can Appreciate ThisJuly 24, 2025

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comedian_(artwork)

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