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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun

What Will You Do To Celebrate Earth Day?

On this most holy day, I shall trek---barefoot because my Cannondale SuperSix EVO Di2 ($11,000) bicycle is in the shop to be fitted with eco-friendly rubber tires---to the local Whole…
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Posted inStatistics

Breast Cancer Screening Ruins Lives?

Today's title is from the Daily Mail: "The expert branded a woman hater for saying breast cancer screening ruins lives." What could be more sensible than having a mammogram? If…
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Posted inStatistics

Steve Zwick Says Burn The Deniers (Metaphorically)!

There is a scene in Woody Allen's Radio Days in which we see a diminutive old man from Rockaway Beach who, one day, snaps and runs out of his house…
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Posted inCulture

I Am Not Selling Ham Equipment: My QRZ Account Has Been Hijacked

I am not selling any ham equipment. A thief using the fictitious email K2JM@dr.com has been attempting to sell non-existent equipment to people using my name and call sign. I…
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Posted inFun Philosophy

The Red-Ball-In-The-Box Fallacy

Okay, friends, I need your help. One day last year, shortly after I had arrived in Taiwan, I awoke from a fitful, jet-lagged sleep at 2 a.m. with the argument…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Descartes Knew More Than He Thought

You can only know what is true. For example, everybody knows the statement "If p is true then p is true" is true (just why in a moment). You can…
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Posted inStatistics

Brain Atrophy Responsible For Religious Belief?

Readers can help me choose the best metaphor. (1) A snowball which starts the size of a pea but gains in strength and speed as it rolls downhill, mindlessly consuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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