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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

True Reason: Confronting the Irrationality of the New Atheism Reviewed

Answer me honestly. How rational is it to believe any of the following: Science can explain everything, even itself; The reason anything exists is because of the laws of gravity,…
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Posted inCulture

Trigger Warnings And The Feminismization Of America

Update New & Improved title! I think it was Clint Eastwood who, as Dirty Harry, gave the world's most famous trigger warning: I know what you're thinking: "Did he fire…
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Posted inCulture

Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!

Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Animals Suing People, People Suing Animals: Lawyers Rejoice

An increasing crime rate Regular readers will know both of my deep interest in animal rights and in the law. This is why, as a side business, but always pro…
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Posted inCulture

Punishment Of Pre-Thoughtcrime On The Rise: You Could Be Next

Certain Canadians have been tried, convicted, and sentenced for pre-thoughtcrime. Bound to have happened, you will say, especially given events such as the howling drooling hate-filled mob that terrorized Brandon…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

A New Possible Solution Of Fermi’s Paradox

What is the probability the following proposition is true? ``There are rational beings other than humans in the universe." Well, given the evidence of angels, who are rational non-human beings,…
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  1. C-Marie on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    God is, and He has revealed Himself to us. We can believe Him or not believe Him by exercising our…

  2. Briggs on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    Now Anonymous, you can't think this is an original objection, not after 2,000 years. Aristotle's, and later others, show why…

  3. Anonymous on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    This is like a 14 square puzzle where you keep moving the logical inconsistency around, but never eliminating it. Both…

  4. Htos1av on Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; StationarityMarch 1, 2026

    great

  5. Tracy Platt on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 26, 2026

    What I miss even more than the ticket is a day skiing at Brighton for $1.10. Carumba! O.K, i dont…

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