Posted inStatistics
On Cause In Probability Models
Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
Posted inStatistics
That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence
Find by general acclaim the smartest man in the world. Call this man "Group A". Call everybody else "Group B". There will necessarily be a group difference in mean intelligence,…
Posted inCulture
A German “Migrant” Explains Why Vigilantism Will Increase
An old argument for a state police force is that justice is removed from family, clan, and tribe to what is seen as an impartial authority. This shift subdues, eliminates,…
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT
Summary Against Modern Thought: Laws Are Divinely Given To Man
Previous post. Very simple Chapter this week. Notice that we don't say here what the law is, merely that is exists. THAT LAWS ARE DIVINELY GIVEN TO MAN 1 It…
Posted inCulture
The Week In Doom — Bad Science Edition
Abbreviated doom this week since I'm on the road. Item Mathematicians divided over faculty hiring practices that require proof of efforts to promote diversity (Thanks to Kip Hansen for the…
Posted inStatistics
Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…