2022 – Page 22 – William M. Briggs

How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks

Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…

Statistics

O No! “Racist” AI!: The Ethics of AI?

There is a form of AI---AI is an acronym from the German meaning statistical modeling---that isn't AI per se, but which is important, even crucial, but not of direct interest…

Statistics

The Horrible Predictions Of Climate Change

Here are some horrible predictions of climate change, first from Newsweek, then from Time magazine. Most of this will be familiar, indeed quotes like these are our daily fare, but…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Yet More Error Corrections About Baptism & The Eucharist

Previous post. I obviously scheduled the date for this post wrong. It ran a day late. The third set of errors about the Eucharist are fixed up this week. SOLUTION…

Statistics

Vexxing 1-4 Year Olds & The Impenetrable Mystery Of The Young Suddenly And Unexpectedly Dying

Here's the wonderful Daily Mail headline: "Healthy young people are dying suddenly and unexpectedly from a mysterious syndrome - as doctors seek answers through a new national register". Even better…

Statistics

Debunking Prebunking & Other Disinformation Scams

An article in Psychology Today, a deeply earnest and condemnatory article on disinformation and the brave efforts to "fight" it using "prebunking", contains the following sentence: "Every day around 9…

Philosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…

Culture

Get Ready For Women Mathematicians To Win Many Awards!

Update 6 July. Ahem. As predicted below, a female has won the Field's Medal. And not only a female. A Ukrainian female. "vibrancy" said a judge. "Viazovska, who is based…

spetzer86 on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025
I'm assuming they only asked pilots of fixed-wing aircraft and not those rotary-wing pilots flying in the Washington, DC area.
spetzer86 on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025
A person could still game your system by doing something complicated but not impossible. For example, repeatedly selecting one card…
hudbwu on New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest BountyAugust 7, 2025
> Today they take people who docs declare are in “irreversible coma” etc. and not “brain dead”. They are wheeled…
hudbwu on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 7, 2025
A simple way to improve the study is to fire the subjects that don't fulfil some perfomance criterion. That would…
Lou on Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1August 7, 2025
Hello, Class 60: I am sticking with it, and its not at all too difficult. Please keep going at your…