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Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

When Thomas Kuhn released his famous book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in 1962, it riled a lot of people. Mostly those who were wedded to the old way of…
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Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving
Posted inFun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving! I’m grateful to all of you, especially those who support my work of freeing Science from gross over-certainty, thankful for what I’ve learned from you, for your patience,…
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Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inStatistics

Facing The Inevitable — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Greetings Doomsters. I am graciously grateful to Brother Briggs for allowing me this gesture to you and for you in this histrionically historical moment during Advent -- quite possibly the…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Read The Paper Claiming Semaglutide Reduces Cardiomyocyte Size and Cardiac Mass

There is a new Research Shows paper on whether drugs like Ozempic (semaglutide) lower cardiac muscle mass. It makes a good lesson in how to read statistical claims. The paper…
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Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I
Posted inStatistics

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Today the math, which you don't strictly need if you can't calculate, behind how to think about Research Shows headlines and papers. This will be an invaluable exercise. You must…
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Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health
Posted inStatistics

Mark Twain On The Dictatorship Of Health

This post is originally from 9 November 2012, twelve years ago. It warned of the coming health dictatorship and the zeal of Experts banning whatever displeased them. Whether it displeased you…
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The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing
Posted inStatistics

The Impossibilities Of Quantum Computing

Since we'll soon be discussing cause in the Class, and nowhere is cause as difficult as it is in quantum mechanics, and because somebody recently reminded me of Scott Locklin's…
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What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say
Posted inStatistics

What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say

Interesting times for science are in store given the incoming administration. RFK, Jr. has been tasked to make America Healthy Again. He will fail where he encourages women to kill…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025

    What if you rolled a six-sided die 60 times and scored a 10 for each side (1-10, 2-10, 3-10, 4-10,…

  2. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  4. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  5. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

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