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Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors
Posted inStatistics

Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors

Today's title is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper "The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data",…
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Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!
Posted inCulture Statistics

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: "Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models". This is a paper that will be celebrated…
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On Experts, The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis”, Coronadoom & More! — Podcast
Posted inPodcast

On Experts, The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis”, Coronadoom & More! — Podcast

Trish Wood had me on her TNT Radio program on Saturday afternoon. We spoke of the Dutch nitrogen "crisis", global warming (now called "climate change"), the coronadoom, Experts and our…
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How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains
Posted inStatistics

How Academic Psychology Affects Brains Of Academic Psychologists Studying How Climate Change Affects Brains

Yesterday I made the claim that academic psychology contained vastly more "banality, ephemera, and outright enforced mandatory quackery than real psychology." This was proved by a paper written by a…
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How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…
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How I Became A  Renegade Scientist
Posted inFun

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

This old picture of myself and a fellow outlaw is given as proof of my deep anti-social propensities. A friend of mine, long ago, would sit and listen to George…
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How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier
Posted inStatistics

How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier

I know the weaknesses of the terms Expert and expertocracy, and am willing to consider all alternatives. An Expert is a person with training and, more importantly, credentials, in an…
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How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples
Posted inCulture

How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples

The main reason you can be assured global warming of doom, a.k.a. climate change, is yet another slow-burn moral panic is that scientists in charge of its theory can never,…
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  1. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…

  2. gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…

  3. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  5. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

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