Posted inFun
The Cultural Event Of The Year! Or, What I Did On My Summer Vacation
No Homework Turned In? I see I mystified most of you last week with that series of technical articles showing how easy it is to generate The Science. Very few…
Posted inStatistics
How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
Posted inStatistics
How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty
Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
Posted inClass Statistics
Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
Posted inStatistics
The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
Posted inStatistics
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Posted inStatistics
On Breaking Climate Records — And Not Panicking
Thucydides in The Peloponnesian War speaks of Athenian prisoners dying from "variation in the temperature" in the conditions they were kept. Athens itself suffered deadly droughts at least in the…
Posted inStatistics
Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine
This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…