Books
EVERYTHING YOU BELIEVE IS WRONG Pre-published in December 2021, but officially in January 2022. Buy it. Errata page: submit typos and mistakes here, thank you. Free first chapter is here.…
Posted inFun
New & Improved Way To Support Your Favorite Blog!
Uncontrolled gleeful trembling is the most common symptom upon learning the Big News that there is a New & Improved! way to support the blog! You know this method must…
Classic Posts
Featured Articles Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2 The Great Global Warming—A.K.A.…
Posted inPhilosophy
On Computers ‘Learning’
This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. The final act of the movie War Games shows a computer solving tic-tac-toe. This…
Posted inStatistics
Uncertainty Is An Impossible Sell
I've never seen the show, but I've heard that the protagonist on the X Files used to have a desk sign which read, "I want to believe." That sentiment characterizes…
Posted inStatistics
Please Don’t Smooth Your (Social Media) Data!
Don't Don't smooth your data and then use that smoothed data as input to other analysis. You will fool yourself. You will make over-confident decisions. It is the wrong thing…
Posted inStatistics
Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example
Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
Posted inStatistics
Topographical Data Analysis Next Great Hope
Everybody who remembers how neural nets were going to save the world, raise your hands. Little higher. Make sure everybody sees. Well, you were wrong, weren't you. They've all but…
