Posted inStatistics
Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine
To head this book review, I asked Grok to create an image of the Antichrist in this third, and final, year of reigning over mankind. I asked the model to…
Posted inStatistics
Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
Posted inStatistics
Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way
Claims of control are almost always false or misleading. "Controlling for" sex or age or anything in probability models is not true control. It's just adding things to models. Vast…
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The Main Barrier To Reproduction Is Ideas
According to Thomas Malthus (in later editions of On Population), the barriers to reproduction in man are three: misery, vice, and prudence. By misery he meant war, famine and pestilence.…
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Class 66: The Difference Between Uncertainty and Decision
This is a post all should read, and not just those following the Class. It is of utter necessity we learn the difference between uncertainty and decision, and the uncertainties…
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Use The Tools The Left Created Against Them
Because of events, I have postponed this week's Class until next Thursday. Many on the Right, very understandably, are calling for violence in the wake of the Charlie Kirk murder.…
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AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
It seems a battle most impossible to convince a good chunk of the population that AI is nothing more than a model. A model written in code, which of course…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
This is a revamped and updated classic post with new material. It first appeared on 6 February 2020. It's time to revisit this topic, as we'll see below. Polygenic scores…