Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy
How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…
Posted inFun
The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.
What's Up? Time for our biannual update, dear readers. My forays into this new thing called "video" have, at long last, begun. It took me so long because I do…
Posted inStatistics
Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air
A toxin, as the redoubtable reader undoubtedly knows, is a poison. And a poison, says Mr Webster, is that which causes "morbid, noxious, or deadly effects". People who ingest or…
Posted inStatistics
All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
Posted inFun
Apple Threatens World Destruction! “It is our aim to permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere”
I was asked to look at this video promoted by the slob---no, really: he's a slob; not that it's his worst sin---who runs Apple. Unfortunately, some of you will have…
Posted inStatistics
Proof That Scientists Are Model Blind Discovered In Claim One Billion Will Die From “Climate Change”
I stupidly sent out two posts today. Those who received the second won't get it again tomorrow. Apologies. Headline: "Scientists Warn 1 Billion People on Track to Die From Climate…
Posted inStatistics
Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
Posted inStatistics
How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty
Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…