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Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science Deniers
Posted inStatistics

Lady Lawyers Become — Gasp! — Science Deniers

Two ladies, both involved in legal academia, have written an astonishing paper in the Journal of Criminology. They insist lawyers for the defense should be called "guilt deniers", and that…
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Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions
Posted inStatistics

Hot New The Science: Kids Are Having Climate Emotions

Way, way back I ran a quarter-hearted contest for the Worst Science of the Year. Keeping up with the tsunami of dreck flowing out of academia proved impossible, however. Worse,…
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The Don’t Just Stand There, Do Something Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review

The Don’t Just Stand There, Do Something Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

In the talk I gave about The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model, the one that caused many governments to gleefully embrace panic, I made the point that an implicit premise in…
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Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Gambler’s Fallacy Not As Crazy As Mathematician’s Fallacy

A new walks-into-a-bar joke begins (thanks to reader Kip Hansen for the tip): A mathematician, a philosopher and a gambler walk into a bar. As the barman pulls each of…
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The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of Voting
Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of Voting

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
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The Great Grand Bluff Of Science
Posted inPhilosophy

The Great Grand Bluff Of Science

Everybody knows the story of the turtles. The earth is held up by four large elephants, some say, which stand on the shell of an enormous turtle. When asked what…
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Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices
Posted inStatistics

Physicist Discovers He Has No Free Will: Chooses To Write Book To Say He Cannot Make Choices

Robert Sapolsky, a Stanford academic, took decades---decades, he says---to conclude he does not have free will. He chose now as the time to tell us of his decades-long, fruitless search…
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  1. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  4. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  5. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

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