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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probabilities Aren’t Decisions

The title says it all. But its presence implies, and it is true, that people often mistake the two. If you decide to bet fifty bucks the USA beats Germany,…
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Posted inStatistics

Summary Of Statistical Evidence Against Global Warming

This is from my Classic Posts page, but seems appropriate to highlight in the wake of the latest gloom and doom from the IPCC. If you're looking for just one…
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Posted inBook review Culture Statistics

Party’s Over, Baby: The Twilight of Abundance Reviewed

The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short by David Archibald, visiting Fellow Institute of World Politics. I am a curmudgeon, which…
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Posted inStatistics

The Case of the Missing Global Warming: A 17th Precinct Mini Mystery

This originally ran four years ago on 21 September 2009. One or two minor details have been changed to make the post current. Update: I see I screwed up the…
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Posted inCulture

Laudato Si: “The Curate’s Egg.” The Not So Excellent Parts. Guest Post by Bob Kurland

See the first part of this article. Every judgment of conscience, be it right or wrong, be it about things evil in themselves or morally indifferent, is obligatory, in such…
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Posted inStatistics

Another Fool Calls For My Arrest: Or, Adam Weinstein Slips A Nut

Another eek-screeching scrawny-brained bug-witted pretty-boy addled cancerous ferret has called for my arrest. My crime? Sanity. Adam Weinstein (@AdamWeinstein), writing at a place with the puerile name of "Gawker"---come to…
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Posted inCulture

Sustaining Envy—Guest Post by Jim Fedako

According to Helmut Schoek (Envy: A Theory of Social Behaviour), envy is a driving force behind the way societies are structured. And when a society succumbs to the collective force…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming To Cause New Crisis. What Will It Be?

Seems the Arctic ice sheet has refused to do what it was told by computer models. The models "conservatively" insisted the ice would be gone entirely by 2013, yet the…
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