Search Results for “heat” – Page 2

What Probably Isnâ€™t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…

Philosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part I

Probability is screwy, and we statisticians do a horrible, rotten job of teaching it. The first thing students learn in normal statistics classes is about "measures of central tendency" or…

Philosophy Statistics

More On The 1 in 1.6 Million Heat Wave Chance

Yesterday we looked at NCDC's claim that the 13-month stretch of "above-normal" temperatures had only a 1 in 1.6 million chance of occurring. Let's today clarify the criticism. The NCDC…

Philosophy Statistics

Chance Of Heat Wave Only 1 in 1.6 Million? Or, Probability Gone Wrong

My dad took a swing with his nine-iron and the wiffle simulacrum of a golf ball took flight, arched upwards, spun left and, without bouncing, landed atop my favorite blade…

Statistics

How To Cheat, Or Fool Yourself, With Time Series: Climate Example

Update This post of such importance, that it remains on top today. See below for more comments. Presented for your satisfaction, a way to cheat either yourself or others using…

Statistics

Statistics Of Loeb’s “Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty”

The paper is "Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty" by Norman Loeb and others in the journal Nature Geoscience. I'm pressed for time, so for…

Philosophy Statistics

Another Reason To Abandon P-values; Or Another Way To Cheat

If you're a scientist, soft or hard, who routinely uses statistics, it's likely that your funding, and therefore your career, the very wellness of your being hinges on discovering statistically…

Philosophy Statistics

Tolkien Wants A King, Cheating With Statistics

Cheating With Statistics Reader Matt Lewis points us to Planet Moron, to an article which tears apart a statistical argument used by the Washington Post, an argument which sought to…

Francois Stallbom on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 17, 2025
Hun; spot on!
Brian (bulaoren) on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 16, 2025
Adrenochrome adrenochrome bo-badrenochrome bonana-fana-fo-fadrenochrome me-my-mo-madrinochrome adrenochrome!
John Pate on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 16, 2025
Now do Adrenochrome.
Hun on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 16, 2025
Everything weird they say about China and Russia has been true about the West for decades. Most of the time,…
Eyrie on Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living ForeverOctober 15, 2025
Old SF novel by Norman Spinrad "Bug Jack Barron". Once castigated in the Brit House of Lords, so worth reading.