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Posted inStatistics

Some Like It Hot: The Hottest Year Ever Inside A Global Warming “Pause”? The Stream. Updates

I rarely ask this, but I'd like you all to go The Stream and pass my article on to as many as you can. (Don't link here, but link at…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Who Wants Viewpoint Diversity In The Academy?

Reader Gary Boden sent over a link to Heterodox Academy. Some friends of ours are part of this, like Judith Curry and Scott Lilienfeld. In their words: We are social…
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Posted inCulture

The Expansion Team Syndrome: SAT Scores & Science

What happens when a professional sports league expands? We talked about this before, but the obvious answer is that the average talent of the league decreases---for two reasons. The first…
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Posted inStatistics

Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause

Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
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Posted inStatistics

Pope’s Encyclical Leaked: Relevant Climate Portion

I've been asked to do pieces on this in other places, which I'm on, but I'm also teaching from 9 to 5 today, so for us all I can do…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inStatistics

Nonpolitical Images Evoke Neural Predictors Of Political Ideology?

The study Another day, another dreary study purporting to show that the brains of "conservatives" are different than those of "liberals." This one hooked up to an electrical phrenology device…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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  1. Bobby Dress on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    I’m fairly certain that obtaining my degree from Cornell had the unintended consequence of lowering whatever theoretical IQ I might…

  2. JRob on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    I love this debate about the heritability of intelligence. The smart people use a lot math about Gaussian and Pareto…

  3. John Pate on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    We know we don't understand consciousness let alone intelligence. IQ testing gets a bad rep though, it's a proxy for…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    I've observed seemingly vast differences in intelligence between singleton siblings raised in the same home (the gap from my wife…

  5. NLR on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    I appreciate the researchers putting a table with the specific people and their scores. The 1937 book which the first…

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